Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 177.355240 205.511606 237.859209 278.033266 326.951523 385.048688 459.964658
2025-08-10 138.066951 172.866302 216.967613 277.929003 361.573190 474.693615 643.494423
2025-08-17 117.429732 154.891763 205.666626 281.388389 394.828662 564.326881 848.864570
2025-08-24 102.270492 140.347248 194.695364 280.755729 419.231276 644.208989 1062.887493
2025-08-31 91.128321 129.223475 186.001462 280.633124 442.713590 726.641959 1308.376664
2025-09-07 83.538643 121.996646 181.605379 285.760099 474.966619 831.469688 1635.831422
2025-09-14 74.080556 110.567745 168.800585 274.261891 474.753739 874.920988 1851.717501
2025-09-21 68.277272 104.177544 163.206507 274.136729 495.332096 964.936807 2215.309200
2025-09-28 63.716025 99.244521 159.325423 276.290501 520.577181 1071.959714 2676.736844
2025-10-05 62.081762 98.988803 163.435120 294.138106 582.444328 1283.132970 3562.873100
2025-10-12 60.296092 98.230504 166.465916 310.272092 644.497963 1517.933581 4702.531265
2025-10-19 56.607343 93.689209 161.870768 309.754608 667.395048 1656.315454 5609.245206
2025-10-26 53.629857 90.508338 160.188308 316.880579 715.544050 1902.239119 7276.187382
2025-11-02 50.122934 86.036932 155.532554 316.895819 746.660509 2116.144037 9112.048272
2025-11-09 47.407355 82.767124 152.851179 320.970182 790.418395 2398.371541 11786.444135
2025-11-16 44.559251 78.938683 148.509372 320.225761 820.319079 2649.678915 14781.938193
2025-11-23 42.059779 75.551741 144.684274 320.081486 852.372828 2932.124903 18697.442911
2025-11-30 40.274686 73.428946 143.342486 326.116908 906.628156 3350.492192 25075.830861
2025-12-07 37.253627 68.497752 135.192333 312.587375 891.174086 3437.608924 28437.330025
2025-12-14 35.428123 65.909912 132.092347 312.440221 923.238617 3789.791428 36481.214090
2025-12-21 33.929467 63.882558 130.060525 314.972779 966.468606 4242.271363 48519.798283
2025-12-28 33.635080 64.409335 134.106110 335.988585 1089.538366 5292.828679 80154.192680
2026-01-04 33.184868 64.548636 137.234230 355.030315 1214.296678 6528.645495 134603.857771